Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 211.026832 236.890781 265.429880 299.387420 338.859448 383.496395 438.078087
2025-04-13 165.101403 197.491513 236.180404 286.279236 350.138072 429.773668 538.124885
2025-04-20 148.916124 185.894955 232.513611 296.560787 383.797436 500.773615 673.541252
2025-04-27 138.187240 178.602365 231.866240 308.771442 419.658142 578.143952 830.269909
2025-05-04 126.185037 167.666115 224.318933 309.504897 438.286748 632.598554 962.385143
2025-05-11 114.014633 154.931901 212.464782 301.928563 442.666982 665.092769 1064.574730
2025-05-18 104.339328 144.633398 202.780099 295.981313 448.033712 698.915483 1174.341034
2025-05-25 99.828811 141.298762 202.803822 304.629302 477.419666 776.330017 1377.897103
2025-06-01 93.657707 134.868214 197.394335 303.760008 490.396124 826.718162 1540.430976
2025-06-08 87.207597 127.447402 189.707426 298.148735 494.100939 860.283571 1675.617765
2025-06-15 82.740278 122.740582 185.874972 298.534627 508.409143 915.879010 1870.994428
2025-06-22 77.451450 116.322482 178.696008 292.273901 509.372500 944.851300 2012.264070
2025-06-29 73.395415 111.722716 174.343798 290.943354 520.284153 997.528194 2228.697885
2025-07-06 67.694647 104.056489 164.253340 278.189244 507.088933 996.697925 2309.900464
2025-07-13 66.299555 103.456612 166.234198 288.123902 541.296914 1107.060773 2723.349289
2025-07-20 65.259344 103.361435 169.051731 299.904712 581.047379 1238.333371 3245.378402
2025-07-27 62.654179 100.371788 166.417557 300.612446 596.667338 1314.055735 3626.074059
2025-08-03 59.144636 95.574650 160.127433 293.302626 593.195413 1340.564013 3855.054432
2025-08-10 56.120241 91.465550 154.835136 287.563537 592.646555 1374.812928 4125.098123
2025-08-17 55.116284 90.922635 156.197410 295.908528 626.689059 1510.572755 4829.489787
2025-08-24 53.049445 88.313938 153.415401 295.069781 638.159291 1584.911267 5330.129255
2025-08-31 50.591723 84.848323 148.741318 289.655206 637.411192 1623.126380 5698.681124
2025-09-07 48.950302 82.814976 146.747489 290.027598 651.645707 1710.425896 6332.596860